Sunday, July 11, 2010

Choices Abound! Take Your Pick!

Up  / Down ?  Gimme a Break!

US Dollar (DX) has been a consistent inverse indicator as to market direction.  This has not been as reliable of late.  The DX futures are UP as of 9 PM Sunday.

SPY 10 Day, 1 Hour - 7 .10.10 - 3 Day Rally and Trend is UP.  Can the market sustain this move?  The MACD is in a "Pinch."  A Rollover is a possibility.

Thursday, July 8, 2010

Oversold Rally Spurs the Bulls!

Bullish Trending Day on Wednesday

SPY 2 Day, 15 min. - 7.7.10 - Note PPS (Green Arrow) Signal and MACD Crossover Convergence showing entry point to the upside.

SPY 20 Day, 1 Hour - 7.7.10 - Rally off of Support on Wed. - Will there be "Followthrough" on Thursday? - MACD shows momentum to the upside and is not yet in overbought territory.


SPY 2 Day, 10 min. - 7.7.10 - "Riding the 20 Day Moving Average (Green Line) "The Holy Grail"

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

The Market is Strewn with Roadside Bombs

Take Care not to be Blind Sided

VIX (Volatility Index) - Trend Decidedly Up - Inverse to Market Movement

SPY- 6.29.10 - Trend is Down with Little Support - Weak Close!

Internals Today - ADs, UVol/DVol, SPY - All demonstrate the dramatic weakness in the market today.

Friday, June 25, 2010

Be Prepared for "Whatever"!

High Volatility and Uncertainty Rules the Day


DX (US Dollar) in sideways mode.

VIX (Volatility Index) - On the Rise

SPY (S&P 500) - Trending Down


SPY Potato Chart - 2nd. Day of "Bear Potato" - Calls for sideways consolidation at support.

Thursday, June 24, 2010

Mathematical Probabilities in the Market

Price Action influenced by Statistical Probabilities

DX (US Dollar) - "Market Mover" - Inverse Effect on Market

SPY 10 Day, Hourly - 6.23.10 - Price Action at 2nd. Standard Deviation on Downside (Calls for Bounce)

Tuesday, June 22, 2010

Dollar Dominates & Most Gaps Close

The Trend and Momentum is Down

DX (US Dollar Index) - On the Rise Again - Bearish for Market

SPY Hourly Chart - "Most Gaps Fill" - MACD, Williams %R indicate Trend is Lower.

Monday, June 21, 2010

Slippery Slope! - Double Cross?

The Gap Up was anticipated.  The subsequent collapse was a covert operation!


The DX was decidedly down early in the AM.  The DX then rallied which coincided with a market deterioration.

VIX (Volatility Index) - The general trend is down witch is bullish for the general market.

SPY 20 Day, 1 Hour - 6.21.10 - There was a general market pull back following a strong gap up.  The lack of bullish support came as a complete surprise to most traders.  The general consensus was that everything pointed to an upside move.  Typical of the market it did just the opposite.

Potato Trade - SPY - 6 .21.10 - Downside move has penetrated the 8 day Potato.  Will it be fatal?  It is still possible to recover.  Tomorrow will tell the tail.

Sunday, June 20, 2010

Indicators are Important in Navigating the Market

Without Indicators and Charts, you are in the clouds and flying by the seat of your pants.
DX (US Dollar Index) dominates market action.  The Trend is Down which is Bullish for the Market.
VIX (Volatility Index) continues to trend down.  This is Bullish for the Market.
SPY 20 Day, 1 hour - Trend has been Bullish for over a week.  Sideways action this past week.  Could be poised for another push to the upside.
Potato Action - SPY - 10 Day, 30 min. - Notice the Crossover at the green oval.  This created a new bull potato.  The market is also above the 200 Day Moving Average.  This is bullish.

All prognostications must be balanced with the understanding that this analysis could be completely wrong.  The market is the market.  Anything is possible.  At best we are reading tea leaves.

Thursday, June 17, 2010

Euro vs. Dollar Directs Market Action

DX (Dollar) continues to Pull Back.  Generates Bullish Market Actions.

DX in Pull Back after significant rally.  Euro rally pushes the US Dollar Down.

VIX (Volatility Index) in Decline - Bullish for the Market

SPY 20 Day, Hourly - 6.17.10 - Sideways consolidation today after bull run.  Channel Trend is Up
SPY 10 Day, Hourly - 6.17.10 - Price Action has moved above the 20, 50, & 200 Day Moving Averages.  The last two days can be seen as consolidation.  Trend continues to be Bullish.  Support must hold at the Moving Averages to allow for further moves to the upside.

Indicator Point to the Upside

Bull are in Control

DX (Dollar) Down, Market Up!

VIX (Volatility Index) Trend is Down which is Bullish for Market.

SPY 20 Day, Hourly in Bullish Trend

SPY in Bull Run above 20 Day Moving Average