Thursday, June 30, 2011

Time for Thinking - Perhaps a Pause?

 A Man Needs a Rest Between Hops
 SPY 2 Year, Weekly - 6.30.11 - Bumping Resistance & Trend Line
 SPY 6 Month, Daily - 6.30.11 - Potential for Breakout but Resistance and Trend Line Could Prove Significant - A Pause for Consolidation would not be Surprising
SPY 10 Day, Hourly - 6.30.11 - One Week of Fire might call for a Pause - Bull Potato in Play!  Staying on Top of 20 Day Moving Average even with a Pause is Important for Continuation.

Wednesday, June 29, 2011

Finally a Little Breakout Action!

 "I Dun Bin a Tadpole Too Long.  Let's Get Goin'."
 SPY 2 Year, Weekly - 6.29.11 - The Two Year Weekly gives us a Long Term View of the Trend.  In this case it is Up.  The Last seven week, however, have been down.  This week the market has shown bottoming action and there appears to be a reversal of sentiment to the upside.
 SPY 6 Month, Daily - 6.29.11 - The Trend for the last two months has been Down.  A Bounce or Rally off of Support offers a Challenge to Resistance at the 50 Day MA (Green Line).  A Break above the 50 could carry the market higher.
SPY 20 Day, Hourly - 6.29.11 - Breakout over Resistance should clear the way for a higher market.  The Green Spot is a short term Target.  The 20 Day MA has crossed the 50 Day MA which creates a Bull Potato.  The Idea is to Stay on Top of the Yellow Line and Ride the Horse a Little Higher.

Tuesday, June 28, 2011

Back at the Top of the Range - What Next?

 Will the Fence be Broken to the Upside?
"This is an Action Related Blog designed for my personal use and reflection on the market and how I can best navigate all the variables.  Questions and reactions are welcome, but these are ideas should never be construed as recommendations to others for market participation."
 SPY 2 Year Weekly - 6.28.11 - The Bounce could be a Bottom?
 SPY 3 Month, Daily - 6.28.11 - Pulling on the Bootstraps.  Looking for Momentum
SPY 20 Day, Hourly - 6.28.11 - Range Bound Market at the Potential Breakout Point - Resistance could set the market back into the Range.

Sunday, June 26, 2011

Range Bound Breakout versus Trend Extension Down?

 Goes from Bad to Worse for Me!
 SPY 2 Year, Weekly - 6.24.11 - Is Eight Weeks of Down Overdone or Just the Beginning?
 SPY 3 Month, Daily - 6.24.11 - Range Bound in Short Term - Begging for a Breakout (Watch for a Fake Out before the Breakout).
SPY 20 Day, Hourly - 6.14.11 - Weekly Trend in First Chart is Interesting.  It Point Down.  Short Term we are Range Bound.  Do we get a Breakout?  A Significant Breakout could Stimulate Acceleration.

Thursday, June 23, 2011

Back in the Box with Fed Pessimism

 Gloomy Forecast Announcement on Economy Sinks Rally
(Click on Images to Enlarge)
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 SPY 2 Year Weekly - 6.22.11 - Seven Week Decline Seeking Support in the Box
 SPY 3 Month, Daily - 6.22.11 - Back into Consolidation
SPY 20 Day, Hourly - 6.22.11 - Fed Kills Rally.  General Market Returns to Sideways Consolidation Seeking Support in the "Box."

Tuesday, June 21, 2011

Large Move Deserves Time to Consolidate


 Just in Case!
 SPY 20 Day, Weekly - 6.21.11 - Weekly "Not out of the woods."
 SPY 3 Month, Daily - 6.21.11 - Gap Up may need time to Digest.
SPY 20 Day, 60 min. - 6.21.11 - Green Spot represents 2-3 Day Goal.  The Market could get some Sideways Consolidation Action first.

Box Breakout Looming

 Popping Up with Optimism!
 SPY 2 Year, Weekly - 6.20.11 - Dead Center in the Neutral Zone.  Note Support Line and Bottoming Action.
 3 Month, Daily - 6.20.11 - Sideways Bottoming Action (Consolidation) - Preparing for a Spring (Breakout) to the Upside.
10 Day, Hourly - 6.20.11 - Straining at the Bit to Breakout.  Volume has been Weak which is a Negative for Momentum and Staying Power.

Sunday, June 19, 2011

"The Homeless Bull" Looks for Better Times Ahead!

"Homeless" - I Use to be a Bull - Gimme a Break!
 SPY 2 Year, Weekly - 6.17.11 - The Week finished on an Up Note but the Weekly Trend has been Down.  Can we get a Bounce? 
 SPY 3 Month, Daily - 6.17.11 - Up Tick on Friday does Offer Hope.  Trend is Down until proven Otherwise.
SPY 20 Day, Hourly - 6.19.11 - Last Week showed some Improvement to the Upside.  Price Action is inside the Neutral Zone or "Devil's Den".  Trading in the Devil's Den is Iffy at Best.  This is a Zone of Uncertainty and Lack of Direction.

Friday, June 17, 2011

Market at a Breaking Point-UP or Down?


 SPY 2 Year, Weekly - 6.16.11 - The Weekly Trend has been down for 7 Weeks.  The Risk is to the Downside.  The Market is Very Oversold and Primed for a Bounce.  The Outcome is Uncertain.
 3 Month Chart shows Downward Trend with some Acceleration.
10 Day, Hourly Chart shows Downward Trend but at Lower Levels near Support.  The Two most recent Bullish Moves fizzled on low volume.  A Breakout to the Upside would call for 129.5 on Good Volume and have the Price hold above the Trend Line.

Wednesday, June 15, 2011

The Bear Looking to Do More Damage - Will the Bulls Belly Up to the Bar?

If I Get My Way My Gang'l Bust this Thing Open!
 SPY 2 Year, Weekly - 6.15.11 - Lot's of Room to Move Down Some More.  Green Spot Marks Bear Target.
 SPY 3 Month Daily - 6.15.11 - Trend is Down, Bumping on Support
SPY 10 Day, Hourly - 6.15.11 - Price Action Drops Below 10/30 Moving Average Envelope (Potato).  Sideways to Down Would be Expected from Here.

Retesting Resistant Highs-Trial Balloon?


SPY 10 Day, Hourly - 6.14.11 - Gap Up to Resistance.  Price Action could not Top Prior High  and Backed Off.  This could be a Failed Breakout from Consolidation as did happen Last Week.  Wednesday could see a retest of the Highs and Lows of the Range.

Sunday, June 12, 2011

Seven Weeks of Down?

 Click Images to Enlarge
 2 Year - Down
 3 Month - Down
10 Day - Down

The Downward Momentum is so Obvious it makes a Contrary Move to the Upside Possible.  The Market is the Market.


Thursday, June 9, 2011

Jailbreak Failed


 2 Year Weekly - Down
 10 Day Hourly - Weak Bull Potato
5 Day, 15 min. - 6.9.11 - Rollover into the Close Disappoints the Bulls