Wednesday, December 9, 2009

Home, Home on the Range----Tumbleweed Action


The Ping Pong - Range Bound Sideways Market Prevails



20 Day, 90 min. - Dec. 9 - SPY pops between 109 & 112 with 110 the Pivot.  A Breakout could happen at any time and might prove dramatic.

Tuesday, December 8, 2009

Stirring the Mix may Create Unexpected Consequences


Only I know what this may lead to!


XLF - Financial ETF - In Retreat > Bearish


GLD - Gold ETF - Retreat in Gold is Short Term Bearish

DX - US Dollar - Rally in the Dollar is Short Term Bearish


GS - Goldman Sachs - Leading Financial Institution has been in Retreat - Short Term Bearish

Range Bound Market with SPY 109-112.  Breakout anticipated.  Resistance has Held.

Monday, December 7, 2009

Market Direction Dictated by US Dollar, Financials, and Gold



Financials - US Dollar - Goldman Sachs- JP Morgan - Gold


US Dollar Gains in Strength as Market Retreats


Goldman Sachs in Down Trend - Gold Retreats


20 Day, 90 min. - Dec. 7 - Market in higher levels of Range.  Price Action looking for Direction.  Stresses and Strains pull in Bull and Bear Bias.  There will be a resolution as the market sorts it out.

1 Year, Weekly - Dec. 7 - Bullish Trend Prevails Long Term.

Sunday, December 6, 2009

Breakout vs Breakdown as Resistance Has Held Out?


The Market is at Resistance - Can the Bulls Breakout to Higher Ground and Stay There?


20 Day, 90 min. - Dec. 4 - Range Bound market prevails between Support and Resistance.  Who will win out over time?


3 Month, Daily - Dec. 4 - Trend is up as price action is in the upper levels of the channel.  Market has been very volatile for the past 4 weeks with frequent gap ups and gap downs.

1 Year, Weekly - Dec. 4 - Trend has been bullish since March '09.  Corrections have been expected for at least 2 months but have failed to occur.  The bulls remain in charge until chased off the field.  It is so important to assess the market in multiple time frames (the longer is the more reliable).

Friday, December 4, 2009

Correction Underway as Market Retreats at Close


The Market Calls for Caution - Direction Uncertain


2 Day, 10 min. - Dec. 3 - Gap up followed by Pull Back and then Cascade Losses at the Close.

The Ping-Pong pattern presented yesterday continues to play out.  The Close was decidedly Bearish and could mean further declines and correction ahead.

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

Unusual Market Behavior


Ping Pong in the Market


With no chart clutter the chart is Ping Pong.

From Order to Disorder - Throwing Darts

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Dollar Decline Dominates the Market


Ten Dollars may become Five Dollars - That is the Issue


Dollar Chart shows the progressive decline in the value of the US Dollar - When the Dollar goes down in value, the price of commodities goes up.  Commodity related stocks in turn go up in value.  The Market as we see it today is built on Sand.

Today's Action - Gap Up into resistance (green line). A principle of trading is "If you keep knocking, you will break through."  Well, we will see.  Tomorrow is another day.


20 Day, 1 Hour - Dec. 1 - Range Bound market for the last two weeks.  The Market is at Resistance.  Breaking Through is the Mystery of the Evening.

The Gold Bugs are in 7th. Heaven


Flight to Safety May Have It's Limits!


Gold has been a  big winner in the market.  There are limited ways to spend it, it pays no dividends, and it costs money to store it and haul it around.  Sooner of later this Gold Rush will run out of gas.

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Market Responds to Arabian Nightmare


Alladin's Lamp Lights the Way!  Dubai Blow Up Causes Headaches!



Weekly Pivots show a widened potential for volatility.  The projection demonstrates the Central Pivot, the Top Line is Resistance, the Bottom Line is Support.  Past performance would lead to expectations that Price Action would be between 108 and 114 this coming week.  Technical Analysis is not a Crystal Ball.  It is a Windsock.

Friday, November 27, 2009

A Little Beat Up, but I'm Not Dead Yet!


Thank God for Bounces & Band Aides

Trade Page demonstrates false divergences as the large Gap Down created atypical patterns as the market recovered and the UVOL/DVOL stayed in reverse.  This is understandable considering that most issues were down so an trade volume had to go into declined issues.

3 Month, Daily - Nov. 27 - Trend is Bullish on this intermediate term chart.

20 Day, 30 min. - Nov. 27 - Sideway Channel is Range Bound.  Which way will it break?

2 Day, 5 min. - Nov. 27 - Large Gap Down secondary to market concerns over Dubai World default on debt.  Reaction proved overdone and there was a nice 50% bounce.  Monday is a new week so "We will see.