Tuesday, September 14, 2010

I Been Hit in the Head, but I see some Possibilities!

What goes up has got to come down.

What goes straight up will not last.  Next leg could be down.

Thursday, September 9, 2010

Box to Box Trading Can be Fun! Just Pick the Right Direction.

Who knows what comes out of the Box.

The Market runs from "Box to Box."  Each box is consolidation and will ultimately resolve in a Breakout.

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

Volatility From Box to Box

Keep Your Eye on the Bouncing Box!

SPY 20 Day, Hourly - 9.7.10 - Boxes can be Opportunities as they Present Breakout Possibilities.  Just Pick the Right Direction.

Sunday, August 29, 2010

Ya Gotta Stick Your Neck Out Sometime!

Hibernation can only go on so long.  Time for a breather.

TBT - Inverse US Treasury Bills.  Price Action broke resistance and Person Pivots show a move to the upside.  Longer intermediate trend is still bearish.

DX - US Dollar Index - Rally has subsided for the moment.  DX has an inverse relationship with the market.  Dollar Down>Market Up.

SPY 6 Month, Daily - Box breakout to the upside.  Recent pattern of big moves pre-market with chop during market hours.  Spreads might be the answer if direction seems apparent.

Thursday, August 26, 2010

Bulls & Bears Go Head to Head!

What's Up!

TBT - US Treasuries - Decline in Treasuries is Bearish for the Market.  Money moves out of equities into safety.


/ES - S&P Futures - Person Pivots suggest a less volatile session tomorrow with a trend to the downside.
Box to Box Trade - Person Pivots point down so the logical conclusion combining this information would point to a lower market.  "When the Obvious is Looking you in the Face, the market is well known to do the opposite.

(Never, ever take anything on this Blog as a recommendation to trade or invest in any issue shown here.)

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

Box Breakouts for Profit Opportunity!

Boxes are created by Congestion.  Many traders view these times as boring Chop.  They are really Opportunities for Profit Breakouts.


Each Box represents a Battleground between Bull & Bears.  The trick is to catch the breakout.  Lot for Trendline breaks confirmed by MACD crossovers.

Sunday, August 22, 2010

Who Falls Down First?

Options Expired - The Party Goes On!  What's Next?

(Click on Chart to Enlarge)
SPY 20 Day, 2 Hour - 8.20.10
The Market has moved in a relatively confined range for several months.  There has been considerable volatility between support and resistance.  You can see the frequent gaps up and down.  During the Consolidation phase (Battleground) seen in the above chart, notice how the MACD drifted lower during this phase.  This was followed by a gap down and market decline.  At this juncture the market could go either way (as always).  The Green Spot in the MACD shows an up trend as opposed to the Consolidation earlier.  Perhaps there is a message here.


Thursday, August 19, 2010

MACD Continues to Rise as Resistance Builds

Indicators Help Show the Way

MACD Accelerates to the Upside but Encounters Resistance on the Way

Wednesday, August 18, 2010

Instruments & Indicators Help Guide the Way

Watch the Indicators to Stay on Course
SPY 20 Day, 2 Hour - MACD Crossover to Upside

Monday, August 16, 2010

Time for the Box to Pop Open!

Boxes Can Hold Surprises!


DX (US Dollar) Value directly related to Market Action on most days.  When the Dollar is Down, the Market is Up, and Vice Versa.
US Treasury Bonds in Decline due to High Demand for Safety.  Bearish for the Market.
SPY 20 Day, Hourly - Sideways Consolidation Begs for a Breakout.  Technicals are more Bearish than Bullish but that is no guarantee.
Box Breakouts are exciting to watch for.  The Trick is to catch the move.